CAIM, LLC Newsletter Sign Up



bonds (8)



No content published as part of the CAIM LLC blog constitutes a recommendation that any particular investment, security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the content published as part of the blog may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and may not necessarily meet the objectives or needs of any specific individual or account, or be suitable advice for any particular reader. Each reader agrees and acknowledges that any specific advice or investment discussed in the blog must be independently evaluated by the reader and his or her adviser in view of the reader's investment needs and objectives.

Dividends Moving Higher

August 12, 2010


Despite the dismal market this week, two of our companies announced dividend increases.

AFLAC (AFL) initiated a 7% hike increasing their dividend to $.30 a share. The stock now has a current yield of 2.4%. The company has also made a commitment to buy back stock. They may buy back as much as 3 million shares by the end of 2010 and plan to purchase 6 million shares in 2011.

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) announced a 105 dividend increase to$.34 per share. The stock has $2.55 in free cash flow per share and a current dividend yield of 3%.

2nd Quarter and Year-to-Date Performance

July 13, 2010


Since the beginning of the year we have been talking about having a bumpy stock market this year. Year to date, the S&P 500 is down 7.6% In the second quarter, we hit a pretty hard bump with the S&P 500 down 11.9%. The combination of health care reform, Greece (and the other PIIGS countries) and financial services reform sent people running from the stock market to the safety of treasuries. So much so, that the 10 year bond is now yielding 2.95% and the 2 year note is at .62%. Compare this to a 2.8% dividend yield on the Dow. We also had some hiccups in the weekly unemployment claims. It has always been our belief that the economic recovery would be driven by capital spending with a sluggish consumer. We still believe that to be true. Our philosophy of buying high quality large cap dividend paying stocks is even more appropriate in this environment. As long term investors we recognize that these stocks offer great value when compared to bonds and cash. The next few years we expect a slow growing economy and these stocks have the financial strength and flexibility to thrive in that environment.

CAIM LLC’s 2nd quarter performance was -9.66% versus -11.9% for the S&P 500. Year to date we are -4.16% versus -7.6% for the S&P 500. Our overall stock selection has been better than the market and we are continuing to hold a 6% average cash position.

Picking the “Best” Dividend Paying Stocks

June 11, 2010


Even in this volatile market, we believe dividend stocks are a far better option than government bonds, which have very little option to keep inflation at bay. Even during the onset of recession, as many as 300 of the 500 companies listed in the S&P 500 raised their dividend payouts.

One important investing criteria when evaluating dividend paying stocks is to invest in those companies that are easy to understand. and have a dividend payout ratio of 50% or less.

Stocks for Today and Tomorrow

June 9, 2010


Jimmy Lee, vice chairman of JP Morgan Chase, made an appearance on CNBC yesterday. He listed the following negative attributes for companies:
According to Lee, there are three basic principles that typically get companies into trouble:
1. Too much debt
2. Too little liquidity
3. Poor risk management

We couldn’t agree more. As we have said many times, the U.S. economy encounters several headwinds next year to cause us to have sluggish growth for an extended period of time. What are the best types of stocks for that scenario?
1. low debt
2. strong cash flow
3. management committed to a solid dividend paying policy

In other words, high quality dividend paying stocks.

Bulk Up on Dividends

May 21, 2010


Boomers should buy dividend paying stocks to stay ahead of inflation. As stock prices rise over time, compared to a bond, high quality dividend paying stocks also have the ability to increase dividends (yield) over time, versus a bond which has a fixed interest rate and can be called. Even in a down market, investors will collect a stream of income from the equities, so why not get paid while you wait?

Baby Boomer Investing 101

May 19, 2010


The CAIM Mock Portfolio Taste Test. We recently completed our first ever recommended mock portfolio for baby boomers. Our survey reveals that our value oriented portfolio is cheaper and less risky than a traditional “growth” portfolio, and pays dividends, which are compounded as stock prices appreciate. Conclusion: Dividend stocks taste better for Baby Boomers than less appealing expensive growth stock peers.

Barron’s Article by Michael Santoli

May 17, 2010


Barron’s article by Michael Santoli, this weekend further, supports our thesis that cash rich, dividend paying stocks should be the investment of choice for baby boomers and any individual who wants to achieve positive long term equity returns with low volatility. The article states that “corporate America is prepared to return cash to investors and to accelerate the spending, hiring, investing and acquiring that most companies curtailed stress and deep uncertainty of the financial crisis and the 2007-2009 economic contraction.” On the list of returning cash to investors is dividend increases. The article also mentions two of our favorite stocks, Intel (INTC) and International Business Machine (IBM). Our screens (CAIM LLC) have produced stocks with an average cash flow per share of $4.89, 30% debt and a dividend payout of 42%.

High quality U.S. companies are ready to come out of safety mode and regroup for growth. We are urging baby boomers to take advantage of this trend while these companies are attractively valued. These companies will be the life blood of boomer’s portfolios as they will need to out pace inflation and receive a stream of income from their investments.

Reaching for Yield

May 13, 2010


As we mentioned last Friday we viewed the correction in the market as a buying opportunity. One of the hardest hit sectors in the correction were the consumer discretionary stocks. As a result, we established a position in Genuine Parts Co. (GPC).

Why we like this company:
1. High quality dividend paying stock. 3.8% yield, 16% debt to total capital, strong cash flow.

2. 55% of the company is leverage to the auto parts segment. With the median vehicle age in the U.S. over nine years old, we believe there will be sufficient demand for GPC’s products (GPC owns NAPA warehouse distribution centers)

3. Strong cash flow has the opportunity to be used for dividend increases, share repurchases, modest acquisitions.

Experiencing Some Turbulence

May 7, 2010


The best way to describe yesterday’s market is to liken it to hitting a major air pocket when flying. As we all know, they are not fun and they certainly can shake your sense of security. Market continues its slide this morning, even on the heels of a decent jobs report.

To put things in perspective, the Dow is now 20% off its highs and 63% above the low. This is a good time to remind ourselves that stocks do not move up in a straight line. We do not suggest that we can predict the market with any accuracy. Market timing is often a losing game. What we do is look for high quality dividend paying companies that have the ability to increase the dividend over time. We are using today as a buying opportunity for those stocks we like for the long term. In particular, we are adding to names like IBM, INTC, CVX, DOW.

Home | Contact Us | Privacy Policy | Sitemap

© 2018 CAIM LLC, All Rights Reserved.